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  • White, Gray and Black Swans
    White, Gray and Black Swans This paper explores how health care complexity challenges us to expand ... and Black Swans This paper explores how health care complexity challenges us to expand our repertoire ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Sep 2009
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Health & Disability
  • Introduction to Predictive Modeling of Fund Manager Behavior for Variable Annuities Riders
    perfor- mance attribution and risk exposure. The primary goal of an actuary hedging VA is to monitor the ... modeling has a direct im- pact on the risk exposure report. How the funds are mapped has a direct result on ...

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    • Authors: Bryon Robidoux
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Annuities>Variable annuities; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis
  • Predictive Analytics and Futurism, August 2019, Issue 21
    semi-supervised GAN, using Keras and TensorFlow, for health care data. AN INTRODUCTION TO THE GENERATIVE ADVERSARIAL ... brilliant smile. She greeted the three of us with a direct handshake and eye contact that was neither flickering ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Aug 2019
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Predictive Analytics
  • I held a human brain!
    I held a human brain! Alternative sources of learning available for free or at low cost ... Actuaries is much more condensed, and focuses on more-direct applications to health insurance claims and cost ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Professional development
  • Global Trends 2030: Alternative World
    reduction, education opportunities and better health care (recall the perspective, this is a global analysis ... challenges for many resources, including health care, pro- ductivity and housing. At the same time, relatively ...

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    • Authors: Jon Deuchler
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Demography; Economics>Macroeconomics
  • A New End, A New Beginning: Preparing for Life as We Don’t Know It
    A New End, A New Beginning: Preparing for Life as We Don’t Know It A discussion of what to ... seem to understand that budget increases are a primary cause of the problems, a symptom clearly described ...

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    • Authors: John L Petersen
    • Date: Jul 2010
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Public Policy
  • If I only had a brain
    If I only had a brain Summary of the July, 2013 newsletter with an executive overview of each article. ... we did (or didn’t) predict the future of health care expenses, cause-specific death rates, employment ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Results-Oriented Solutions>Assess decision effectiveness; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Enterprise Risk Management>Risk measurement - ERM; Enterprise Risk Management>Strategic risks; Enterprise Risk Management>Systematic risk; Enterprise Risk Management>Systemic risk
  • Should Actuaries Get Another Job?
    Should Actuaries Get Another Job? This is an article that discusses Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s ... moments are important. as social economies, health care systems and property/casualty disasters (earthquakes ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Sep 2009
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting